NFL Week 3 Survivor Picks 2023: Picks for the Primetime Games


The third week of the NFL is upon us, and with it, the tensions, predictions, and strategies for Survivor Pools escalate. As teams showcase their mettle and the true contenders begin to emerge, Week 3 provides crucial insights for bettors and fans alike. This article dives deep into the matchups, exploring the dynamics that could be the key to unlocking a successful survivor pick.

Recap of Week 2, 2023

Week 2 of the NFL season witnessed numerous ups and downs. The Cincinnati Bengals, two seasons post their Super Bowl appearance, faced a tough loss, marking their 0-2 for the consecutive season. In another headline-grabber, the reigning champions, the Kansas City Chiefs, won their latest match against the Jaguars solidifying their reputation and attracting keen interest in their game.

NFL Football Week 3 Predictions 2023 via Shiny Knife

NFL Week 3 Survivor Picks 2023

NFL Week 3 Survivor Picks 2023 Picks for the Primetime Games

Giants at 49ers

  • Spread: 49ers -10.5
  • Moneyline: Giants +430, 49ers -590
  • Total: 44.5

Analysis and Pick:

The 49ers come into this matchup as heavy favorites, given the double-digit spread. Their dominant performances in the first two weeks seem to be the basis of this favoritism. However, as a survivor pool tip, remember that huge spread games can sometimes be trap games. But given the strength of the 49ers this season, they are the safer pick. 

Pick: San Francisco 49ers

Tennessee Titans vs. Cleveland Browns

  • Spread: Browns -4
  • Moneyline: Titans +158, Browns -188
  • Total: 41

Analysis and Pick:

This is a more balanced matchup. The Browns have a slight edge according to the spread, but the Titans are no pushovers. Both teams have shown flashes of brilliance this season. This is a game that might be too close for comfort for Survivor Pool participants, but if forced to choose, the Browns’ home advantage might just tilt the balance in their favor.

Pick: Cleveland Browns

Los Angeles Chargers vs. Minnesota Vikings

  • Spread: Chargers -1.5
  • Moneyline: Chargers -112, Vikings -104
  • Total: 51.5

Analysis and Pick:

This game promises to be one of the most evenly matched of the week. The odds suggest that this could go either way. With a high total, we might be looking at an offensive shootout. Given the close odds, consider other options for your Survivor pick this week. But if you’re leaning toward this game, trust the Chargers’ slight home advantage.

Pick: Los Angeles Chargers

New England Patriots vs. New York Jets

  • Spread: Patriots -2.5
  • Moneyline: Patriots -124, Jets +106
  • Total: 37.5

Analysis and Pick:

A classic AFC East matchup. The Patriots are favorites, but not by a wide margin. The Jets have shown tenacity this season, making them a potential upset candidate. However, historically, the Patriots have had the Jets’ number. In a week of close games, the Patriots might be one of the safer bets, even with the tight spread.

Pick: New England Patriots

Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Spread: Jaguars -8.5
  • Moneyline: Texans +340, Jaguars -430
  • Total: 45.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Jaguars appear to be the strong favorites, but divisional games always bring an element of unpredictability. However, the Jaguars’ performance in the last two games makes them the logical choice.

Pick: Jacksonville Jaguars

Buffalo Bills vs. Washington Commanders

  • Spread: Bills -6.5
  • Moneyline: Bills -290, Commanders +235
  • Total: 45

Analysis and Pick:

The Bills come in as favorites, but the Commanders have shown resilience this season. With a moderately high total, expect some fireworks. Nonetheless, the Bills at home seem to be the better choice.

Pick: Buffalo Bills

Indianapolis Colts vs. Baltimore Ravens

  • Spread: Ravens -8.5
  • Moneyline: Colts +330, Ravens -420
  • Total: 44.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Ravens have been dominant, and playing at home gives them an additional advantage. While the Colts have had their moments, this matchup leans heavily toward Baltimore.

Pick: Baltimore Ravens

Atlanta Falcons vs. Detroit Lions

  • Spread: Lions -4.5
  • Moneyline: Falcons +168, Lions -200
  • Total: 46.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Lions, with home-field advantage, have the edge. But the Falcons can’t be underestimated. Still, in terms of survivor picks, it might be safer to side with the home team.

Pick: Detroit Lions

New Orleans Saints vs. Green Bay Packers

  • Spread: Packers -1.5
  • Moneyline: Saints +102, Packers -120
  • Total: 43.5

Analysis and Pick:

One of the tightest matchups of the week. The odds suggest a very close game, but the Packers, with their storied history at Lambeau Field, might have a slight advantage.

Pick: Green Bay Packers

Denver Broncos vs. Miami Dolphins

  • Spread: Dolphins -6
  • Moneyline: Broncos +210, Dolphins -255
  • Total: 46

Analysis and Pick:

The Dolphins have shown prowess, especially defensively, making them favorites in this matchup. The Broncos, while spirited, will face a challenge on the road.

Pick: Miami Dolphins

Carolina Panthers vs. Seattle Seahawks

  • Spread: Seahawks -4.5
  • Moneyline: Panthers +168, Seahawks -200
  • Total: 42.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Seahawks at home in the infamous “12th Man” environment are always a force to be reckoned with. The Panthers will have their hands full in this matchup.

Pick: Seattle Seahawks

Chicago Bears vs. Kansas City Chiefs

  • Spread: Chiefs -12.5
  • Moneyline: Bears +530, Chiefs -750
  • Total: 49.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Chiefs, as the heaviest favorites of the week, are almost a no-brainer for Survivor Pools. Their offensive firepower and recent performance make them the top pick for Week 3.

Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

Dallas Cowboys vs. Arizona Cardinals

  • Spread: Cowboys -12.5
  • Moneyline: Cowboys -700, Cardinals +500
  • Over/Under: 43.5

Analysis and Pick

The Cowboys come into this game as substantial favorites, indicated by both the spread and the money line. Their dominant performances in the first two weeks seem to justify this. The Over/Under at 43.5 suggests a relatively low-scoring game, possibly indicating a strong defensive showing from Dallas. For those considering this matchup, the Cowboys look to be the safer pick.

Pick: Dallas Cowboys

Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Las Vegas Raiders

  • Spread: Steelers -1.5
  • Moneyline: Steelers -126, Raiders +108
  • Over/Under: 43.5

Analysis and Pick:

This promises to be one of the tighter contests of the week. With a spread of just 1.5, it’s almost a toss-up. Both teams have had bright moments this season, making this pick a tricky one. The Over/Under suggests another game that might not be a high-scoring affair. In games this close, home advantage can play a significant role, and with the Steelers on their home turf, they might just edge it.

Pick: Pittsburgh Steelers

Philadelphia Eagles vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Spread: Eagles -6.5

Moneyline: Eagles -300, Buccaneers +245

Over/Under: 45

Analysis and Pick:

Surprisingly, the defending champion Buccaneers come into this game as underdogs against a resurgent Eagles side. The Eagles’ early-season form is reflected in the odds, but Tampa Bay’s pedigree and experience can’t be ignored. However, the Eagles playing at home and their recent form might give them a slight edge. The Over/Under indicates potential for some touchdowns on both sides.

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles

Los Angeles Rams vs. Cincinnati Bengals

  • Spread: Bengals -6.5
  • Moneyline: Rams +225, Bengals -275
  • Over/Under: 46.5

Analysis and Pick:

The Bengals, with a spread of -6.5, are favorites, showing the bookmakers’ confidence in their performance. But the Rams, despite being underdogs, have the capability to upset. The Over/Under at 46.5 suggests an expectation of a few touchdowns, with both teams boasting potent offenses. Given the Bengals’ recent form and home advantage, they might be the team to back in this matchup.

Pick: Cincinnati Bengals


Week 3 of the NFL season promises an exciting array of games. For those looking to make their picks in a survivor pool, considering the odds, team forms, and historical performances is crucial. While some games seem clear-cut, the NFL is always full of surprises. Remember to diversify your bets and not put all your hopes in one game. Best of luck with your picks for Week 3!

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